For the first time, the meteorological department will give probability estimates of drought and excess rainfall for the country as part of its much-awaited April forecast of the southwest monsoon. The department will continue to stick to a new technique it used last year for forecasting the monsoon though it led to predictions that turned out to be way off.
Links:
[1] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/news/drought-or-floods
[2] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/newspaper/week-kochi
[3] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/monsoons
[4] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/drought
[5] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/indian-meteorological-department-imd
[6] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/india
[7] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/kerala
[8] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/rainfall