This paper attempts to project the future supply and demand up to the year 2025 for rice and wheat, the two main cereals cultivated and consumed in India. A review of studies that forecast the supply and demand of Indian agriculture commodities revealed three important limitations of such studies: The forecasts are generally overestimated (in the ex post situation); the methodology is not clearly outlined; ex-ante validation of the forecast have not been carried out. This study presents forecasts based on models that are validated so that forecast performances can be assessed.
Links:
[1] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/reports-documents/demand-and-supply-cereals-india-2010-2025
[2] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/author/ganesh-kumar
[3] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/author/rajesh-mehta
[4] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/author/hemant-pullabhotla
[5] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/author/et-al
[6] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/publisher/international-food-policy-research-institute
[7] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/food-crops
[8] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/food-supply
[9] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/india
[10] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/consumption-patterns
[11] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/agriculture