IMD has been predicting a normal monsoon during the June-September season since March.
Links:
[1] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/news/wmo-monsoon-projection-imd-cautious
[2] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/newspaper/business-standard-new-delhi
[3] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/el-nino
[4] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/weather-predictions
[5] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/monsoons
[6] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/indian-meteorological-department-imd
[7] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/world-meteorological-orgnisation-wmo