The slowdown in the rate of global warming in the early 2000s is not evident in the multi-model ensemble average of traditional climate change projection simulations1. However, a number of individual ensemble members from that set of models successfully simulate the early-2000s hiatus when naturally-occurring climate variability involving the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) coincided, by chance, with the observed negative phase of the IPO that contributed to the early-2000s hiatus.
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Links:
[1] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/feature-article/climate-model-simulations-observed-early-2000s-hiatus-global-warming
[2] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/author/gerald-meehl
[3] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/author/haiyan-teng
[4] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/author/julie-m-arblaster
[5] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/journal/nature-climate-change
[6] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/climate-change
[7] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/climate-science
[8] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/global-warming
