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Home > Reports and Documents > Climate change and economic growth: evidence from the last half century > Climate change and economic growth: evidence from the last half century

Climate change and economic growth: evidence from the last half century [1]

This paper uses annual variation in temperature and precipitation over the past 50 years to examine the impact of climatic changes on economic activity throughout the world. It find three primary results. First, higher temperatures substantially reduce economic growth in poor countries but have little effect in rich countries. Second, higher temperatures appear to reduce growth rates in poor countries, rather than just the level of output. Third, higher temperatures have wide-ranging effects in poor nations, reducing agricultural output, industrial output, and aggregate investment, and increasing political instability. Analysis of decade or longer climate shifts also shows substantial negative effects on growth in poor countries. Should future impacts of climate change mirror these historical effects, the negative impact on poor countries may be substantial.

Publication Date: 
01/06/2008
Melissa Dell [2], Benjamin F. Jones [3], Benjamin A. Olken [4]
National Bureau of Economic Research [5]
Tags:
Climate Change [6], Global Warming [7], Climate Economics [8], Climate Impacts [9], Economic Development [10], Global [11]
Centre for Science and Environment
National Knowledge Commission Government of India

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Source URL: http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/reports-documents/climate-change-and-economic-growth-evidence-last-half-century

Links:
[1] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/reports-documents/climate-change-and-economic-growth-evidence-last-half-century
[2] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/author/melissa-dell
[3] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/author/benjamin-f-jones
[4] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/author/benjamin-olken
[5] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/publisher/national-bureau-economic-research
[6] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/climate-change
[7] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/global-warming
[8] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/climate-economics
[9] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/climate-impacts
[10] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/economic-development
[11] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/global