Based on high-resolution models, we investigate the change in climate extremes and impact-relevant indicators over Europe under different levels of global warming. We specifically assess the robustness of the changes and the benefits of limiting warming to 1.5°C instead of 2°C. Compared to 1.5°C world, a further 0.5°C warming results in a robust change of minimum summer temperature indices (mean, Tn10p, and Tn900p) over more than 70% of Europe. Robust changes (more than 0.5°C) in maximum temperature affect smaller areas (usually less than 20%). There is a substantial nonlinear change of fixed-threshold indices, with more than 60% increase of the number of tropical nights over southern Europe and more than 50% decrease in the number of frost days over central Europe. The change in mean precipitation due to 0.5°C warming is mostly nonsignificant at the grid point level, but, locally, it is accompanied by a more marked change in extreme rainfall.
Original Source [2]
Links:
[1] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/feature-article/will-half-degree-make-difference-robust-projections-indices-mean-and-extreme-climate
[2] http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017GL076222/full
[3] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/author/undefined
[4] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/journal/geophysical-research-letters
[5] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/climate-change
[6] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/emission-targets
[7] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/europe
[8] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/global-warming
[9] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/extreme-weater-events
[10] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/climate-impacts
[11] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/rainfall-pattern