The Central Statistical Organisation's advance estimate of a decline in the agricultural sector's output in 2009-10 by a mere 0.2% is a highly optimistic forecast. An analysis of the numbers in the latest estimates of foodgrain output and a comparison of output/GDP changes in the drought years of 2002-03 and 2009-10 tells us why.
Links:
[1] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/feature-article/impact-2009-drought-agricultural-output-fantasy-or-reality
[2] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/author/shreekant-sambrani
[3] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/journal/economic-and-political-weekly
[4] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/agriculture
[5] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/horticulture
[6] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/milk
[7] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/food-prices
[8] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/food-stress
[9] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/drought
[10] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/india
[11] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/food-security