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Examining Indian monsoon variability in coupled climate model simulations and projections [1]

South Asian summer monsoon (June through September) rainfall simulation and its potential future changes are evaluated in a multi-model ensemble of global coupled climate models outputs under World Climate Research Program Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (WCRP CMIP3) data set. The response of South Asian summer monsoon to a transient increase in future anthropogenic radiative forcing is investigated for two time slices , middle (2031-2050) and end of the 21st century (2081-2100) in the non-mitigated Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) B1, A1B and A2 .There is large inter-model variability in simulation of spatial characteristics of seasonal monsoon
precipitation. Ten out of 25 models are able to simulate space-time characteristics of South Asian monsoon precipitation reasonably well for the twentieth century.

Publication Date: 
01/02/2010
Ashwini Kulkarni [2], R.H. Kripalani [3], S.S. Sabade [4]
Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology [5]
Tags:
El Nino [6], Monsoons [7], Climate Change [8], Global Warming [9], Sea Level Rise [10], India [11], Climate [12], Rainfall [13]
Centre for Science and Environment
National Knowledge Commission Government of India

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[1] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/reports-documents/examining-indian-monsoon-variability-coupled-climate-model-simulations-and
[2] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/author/ashwini-kulkarni
[3] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/author/rh-kripalani
[4] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/author/ss-sabade
[5] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/publisher/indian-institute-tropical-meteorology
[6] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/el-nino
[7] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/monsoons
[8] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/climate-change
[9] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/global-warming
[10] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/sea-level-rise
[11] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/india
[12] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/climate
[13] http://admin.indiaenvironmentportal.org.in/category/thesaurus/rainfall