Andrew Hoell

Explaining extreme events of 2015 from a climate perspective

This fifth edition of explaining extreme events of the previous year (2015) from a climate perspective continues to provide evidence that climate change is altering some extreme event risk.

Publication Date:

01/12/2016

Author(s): Stephanie C. Herring, Andrew Hoell, Martin P. Hoerling, James P. Kossin, Carl J. Schreck III, Peter A. Stott

Source: American Meteorological Society

Tags:

Extreme Weather Events, El Nino, Climate Change, Droughts, Heat Waves, Floods, Rainfall, India, Global

Atmosphere And Ozone Layer

Using constructed analogs to improve the skill of National Multi-Model Ensemble March–April–May precipitation forecasts in equatorial East Africa

In this study we implement and evaluate a simple 'hybrid' forecast approach that uses constructed analogs (CA) to improve the National Multi-Model Ensemble's (NMME) March–April–May (MAM) precipitation forecasts over equatorial eastern Africa (hereafter referred to as EA, 2°S to 8°N and 36°E to 46°E). Due to recent declines in MAM rainfall, increases in population, land degradation, and limited technological advances, this region has become a recent epicenter of food insecurity.

Publication Date:

24/09/2014

Author(s): Shraddhanand Shukla, Christopher Funk, Andrew Hoell

Source: Environmental Research Letters

pp:

1-9

Tags:

Rainfall Pattern, Africa, Weather Predictions, Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya