In December, national delegations from almost 200 nations will meet in Paris to hammer out an agreement on greenhouse gas emission (GHG) reductions. Like Kyoto (1997) and Copenhagen (2009) before it, Paris 2015 will rely on GHG emission reduction pledges to achieve their climate goals, this time to limit global warming to less than 2 °C.

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How big is the energy challenge of climate change? The technological advances needed to stabilize carbon dioxide emissions may be greater than we think, argue Roger Pielke Jr, Tom Wigley and Christopher Green.