Alternative interpretations of the relationship between sea surface temperature and hurricane activity imply vastly different future Atlantic hurricane activity.

A key question in the study of near term climate change is whether there is a causal connection between warming tropical sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and Atlantic hurricane activity. Such a connection would imply that the marked increase in Atlantic hurricane activity since the early 1990s is a harbinger of larger changes to come and that part of that increase could be attributed to human actions. However, the increase could also be a result of the warming of the Atlantic relative to other ocean basins, which is not expected to continue in the long term.

A tropical wave about 950 miles (1,530 km) east-southeast of the Windward Islands had less than a 20 percent chance of developing into a storm over the next couple of days the US National Hurricane Center said in a report Thursday.

The 15th tropical storm of a busy Atlantic hurricane season developed in the Caribbean on Tuesday while a 16th tropical system began to form off Central America and former Tropical Storm Nana unraveled and disappeared.

The 14th tropical storm of the Atlantic hurricane season faded rapidly on Monday but two new tropical systems developed in the Caribbean, threatening Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands and also Central America.

Tropical Storm Nana, the 14th of the Atlantic hurricane season, formed on Sunday in the Atlantic Ocean east of the Caribbean islands, the US National Hurricane Center said.

Cuban markets offered a dwindling selection of food and a growing expanse of empty shelves on Wednesday as food shortages the government warned about after hurricanes Gustav and Ike became increasingly evident.

The shortages were exacerbated in the Cuban capital when shipments from food suppliers slowed in a conflict with the government over newly imposed price controls.

nsg India gets into nuclear family On September 6, the 45-member nuclear suppliers group (nsg) lifted its 16-year-old embargo on nuclear commerce with India. The tough negotiations in Vienna went down to the wire after China, which had sounded positive in the run-up to the nsg meeting took a different line. Australia, New Zealand, Switzerland and Ireland also acted

BY JUAN A. LOZANO AND CHRIS DUNCAN
GALVESTON, TEXAS

HAVANA: Hurricane Ike roared toward the densely populated Cuban capital and its fragile, historic buildings on Tuesday after forcing 1.2 million people to evacuate, killing at least four and ravaging homes elsewhere on the island nation.

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